Evidence through 2026-10-14. Performance can be refreshed using the same five criteria.
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A close season-to-date comparison led by Josh Allen and Brock Purdy, with Jared Goff, Patrick Mahomes and Trevor Lawrence completing the Top 5. All five are assessed using current named-player reporting at the same research cutoff, not preseason reputation or predicted results.
IMPORTANT CONTEXTThis is an informational early-season ranking based on games observed through October 14, 2026; small samples and changing team context limit certainty.
01
BB
Buffalo Bills
Josh Allen
The narrow leader on combined passing and rushing production, with turnover risk limiting the efficiency grade.
The current NFL snapshot records 1,249 passing yards, 7 passing touchdowns, 4 interceptions and 8 rushing touchdowns through five games. His rushing impact differentiates him, while PFF flags a 5.4% turnover-worthy play rate. This is a whole-season comparison, not credit for one game.
A very close second, combining touchdown production and efficient, consistently positive passing.
The current NFL snapshot has 1,196 passing yards, 13 passing touchdowns and 2 interceptions through five games, replacing the older four-game figures. CBS ranks him first and PFF highlights his EPA/play. The sources disagree on the interception count; the official NFL total is used consistently here.
Outstanding passing production with no interceptions puts Goff narrowly ahead of Mahomes under this scorecard.
The current NFL snapshot lists 1,485 passing yards, 12 passing touchdowns and zero interceptions through five games. PFF credits an 86.1 passing grade and a joint-lowest 0.5% turnover-worthy play rate; CBS ranks him third. His smaller rushing contribution limits the impact grade.
Elite playmaking keeps Mahomes close to the leaders; this performance scorecard differs from broader quarterback rankings.
NFL reports 1,037 passing yards, 9 passing touchdowns and 2 interceptions in four games; his Week 5 absence was a bye, not injury. PFF ranks him first and CBS second. Our fourth placement reflects Goff's stronger passing output per game and cleaner turnover results, while Mahomes receives the higher individual-impact grade.
Strong season passing efficiency and pressure performance earn the fifth place, with recent inconsistency reflected in the grade.
The current NFL snapshot lists 1,174 passing yards, 10 passing touchdowns and 3 interceptions through five games. NFL and CBS both rank him fifth, while PFF is more cautious after his lowest-graded game this season. The consistency grade reflects that observed performance, not missing research.
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THE SCORING
HOW ALL FIVE SCORED
The five criteria create the AI baseline. The community adjustment is then added or subtracted to produce the current published score.
Keep the criteria fixedSwipe to compare all five →
Criterion
#1Josh Allen
#2Brock Purdy
#3Jared Goff
#4Patrick Mahomes
#5Trevor Lawrence
98
96
96
94
91
93
97
98
94
91
99
95
91
96
92
93
95
96
93
87
96
96
96
96
96
AI baseline scoreWeighted criteria result
96.3
96.0
95.5
94.5
91.3
Community adjustmentVote-share influence
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Current published scoreBaseline + community
96
96
96
95
91
#1
Josh Allen
96/100
AI baseline96.3
Community0.0
Published96
#2
Brock Purdy
96/100
AI baseline96.0
Community0.0
Published96
#3
Jared Goff
96/100
AI baseline95.5
Community0.0
Published96
#4
Patrick Mahomes
95/100
AI baseline94.5
Community0.0
Published95
#5
Trevor Lawrence
91/100
AI baseline91.3
Community0.0
Published91
Season production · 35%Passing yards and touchdowns, plus rushing contributions, in this regular season so far. This measures output already delivered, not predicted future performance.
THE SCORING
HOW ALL FIVE SCORED
The five criteria create the AI baseline. The community adjustment is then added or subtracted to produce the current published score.
Keep the criteria fixedSwipe to compare all five →
Criterion
#1Josh Allen
#2Brock Purdy
#3Jared Goff
#4Patrick Mahomes
#5Trevor Lawrence
98
96
96
94
91
93
97
98
94
91
99
95
91
96
92
93
95
96
93
87
96
96
96
96
96
AI baseline scoreWeighted criteria result
96.3
96.0
95.5
94.5
91.3
Community adjustmentVote-share influence
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Current published scoreBaseline + community
96
96
96
95
91
#1
Josh Allen
96/100
AI baseline96.3
Community0.0
Published96
#2
Brock Purdy
96/100
AI baseline96.0
Community0.0
Published96
#3
Jared Goff
96/100
AI baseline95.5
Community0.0
Published96
#4
Patrick Mahomes
95/100
AI baseline94.5
Community0.0
Published95
#5
Trevor Lawrence
91/100
AI baseline91.3
Community0.0
Published91
Season production · 35%Passing yards and touchdowns, plus rushing contributions, in this regular season so far. This measures output already delivered, not predicted future performance.
HEAD TO HEAD
COMPARE TWO CONTENDERS
Choose any two contenders. We’ll line up what matters.
CONTENDER
BB
Buffalo Bills
Josh Allen
96
SF4
San Francisco 49ers
Brock Purdy
96
Team
Buffalo Bills
San Francisco 49ers
Games
5
5
Passing yards
1249
1196
Passing touchdowns
7
13
Interceptions
4
2
BB
Buffalo Bills
Josh Allen
96/100SF4
San Francisco 49ers
Brock Purdy
96/100
Team
Buffalo Bills
San Francisco 49ers
Games
5
5
Passing yards
1249
1196
Passing touchdowns
7
13
Interceptions
4
2
WHY THIS ORDER?
THE RECEIPTS, NOT THE MYSTERY.
NFL 2026 regular season; evidence checked October 14, 2026. Owner-reviewed correction using production (35%), efficiency (25%), individual impact (20%), consistency (10%) and availability (10%). Current player totals, rate statistics and observed play are compared together; byes do not reduce availability. Source rankings inform the candidate pool but do not dictate the order. Allen leads narrowly on combined passing/rushing impact; Purdy and Goff have stronger clean-passing cases. Mahomes ranks lower here than PFF/CBS because Goff has higher passing output per game and cleaner turnover results; Mahomes retains the higher impact grade. Disputed counts use the official NFL season snapshot. Grades are editorial judgments, not probabilities. No future performance, career reputation or missing-source penalty is scored.